Question

Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025?

Resolved :No1%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters103

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

95.6

Community Peer Score

7.2

Authors:

crule

Opened:

Dec 2, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Space

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Astronomy

2007 Chinese anti-satellite missile test

Space debris

NASA

Environmental science

International Space Station

Russia

Photos show the 1,000 pounds of space debris that crash landed in Kenya. It's unclear who it belongs to.

Business Insider•Jan 26, 2025

Experts reveal Kessler Syndrome could affect us all more than first feared

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

'Space Junk' in Orbit Is Becoming a Critical Problem That Needs to Be Addressed

PJ Media•Jan 31, 2025

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