Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023?

Resolved :Yes85%
32
45
Total Forecasters229
Community Prediction85% (80% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
41.3
Community Peer Score
4.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Virology
Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency
European Union
United Kingdom
Epidemiology
Infectious disease
Food and Drug Administration
Moderna
Omicron

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