Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?

Resolved :3730.8
16
27
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction30.8 (22.7 - 39.2)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<-50
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
22.74
30.76
39.18
0.6%

What was the final result?37

Community Baseline Score
46.2
Community Peer Score
21.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Physics
Engineering
Trevor Bedford
Omicron
Hong Kong
Public health
Virology
World Health Organization
Epidemiology

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