Question

Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta?

Resolved :No

84 comments84

Total Forecasters347

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

87.1

Community Peer Score

13.0

median 1.0%mean 2.1%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

WHO says mpox cases in Congo’s epicenter where the new variant was detected may be ‘plateauing’

Associated Press•Nov 11, 2024

Mpox Cases Plateau in Congo's Epicenter But Rise in Other Countries

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

COVID Map Update Reveals Shift in 'Very High' Water Virus Levels

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

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Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

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