Question

What percentage of the US will be at least partially vaccinated against COVID-19 on March 1, 2022?

Resolved :76.278

21 comments21

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction78 (76.4 - 79.7)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100

...

76.37

77.99

79.67

0.1%

What was the final result?76.2

Community Baseline Score

68.6

Community Peer Score

15.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Why is vaccine hesitancy among Republicans more common?

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?

2024-11-25

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Why is vaccine hesitancy among Republicans more common?

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?

2024-11-25