Question

What will be The Economist's estimated global excess deaths due to COVID-19 on January 1, 2023?

Resolved :21M

19 comments19

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction21.5M

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<17M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50M

...

2.5%

20.76M

21.51M

23.26M

0.3%

What was the final result?21M

Community Baseline Score

9.7

Community Peer Score

13.5

Authors:

literallytrevor

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

176k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

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Authors:

literallytrevor

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

176k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k