Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023?

Resolved :No1%
14
15
Total Forecasters165
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.4
Community Peer Score
3.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Chapter 11, Title 11, United States Code
SpaceX Raptor
Title 11 of the US Code
SpaceX Starship
Falcon Heavy
Starlink
SpaceX Dragon
Elon Musk
Falcon 9

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