Question

What total mass (in tonnes) of space debris will be removed by active measures by 2040?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction19.1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

17.1%

19.1

475

17.8%

Authors:

Kostas

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Outline of space science

Astronomy

Physics

European Space Agency

Space debris

Kessler syndrome

Environmental science

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

2028-10

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

2040-08

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Kostas

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

Outline of space science

Astronomy

Physics

European Space Agency

Space debris

Kessler syndrome

Environmental science

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

2028-10

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

2040-08

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

What total mass (in tonnes) of space debris will be removed by active measures by 2040?

Make a Prediction

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

Comments

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?