Question

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

54 comments54

Total Forecasters261

Community Prediction2% (1% - 5.3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Estonia–Russia relations

Latvia–Russia relations

Ukraine–NATO relations

Western Military District

Is Russia’s Mutual Defense Pact With North Korea Truly Mutual?

CounterPunch•Dec 24, 2024

Russia's False Flag Warnings Spark Fears in Europe

Newsweek•Dec 25, 2024

Is Russia planning a ‘false flag’ attack on Moldova?

Al Jazeera•Dec 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Estonia–Russia relations

Latvia–Russia relations

Ukraine–NATO relations

Western Military District

Is Russia’s Mutual Defense Pact With North Korea Truly Mutual?

CounterPunch•Dec 24, 2024

Russia's False Flag Warnings Spark Fears in Europe

Newsweek•Dec 25, 2024

Is Russia planning a ‘false flag’ attack on Moldova?

Al Jazeera•Dec 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

MetaculusM

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

Comments

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?