Question

What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between December 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?

Resolved :Above upper bound7.52k

7 comments7

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction7.52k (6.28k - 9.51k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10k

...

6.278k

7.524k

9.513k

20.4%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

-33.3

Community Peer Score

83.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Virginia

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Time•Dec 19, 2024

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48%

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Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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