Question

Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025?

Resolved :No0.2%

14 comments14

Total Forecasters105

Community Prediction0.2% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

97.5

Community Peer Score

10.8

Authors:

crule

Opened:

Aug 7, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Environmental science

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