Question

Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025?

Resolved :Yes

56 comments56

Total Forecasters140

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-14.1

Community Peer Score

6.6

median 99.0%mean 94.9%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Conservative Party (UK)

United Kingdom

Leader of the Conservative Party (UK)

Liz Truss

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Tom Tugendhat become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

19.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Conservative Party (UK)

United Kingdom

Leader of the Conservative Party (UK)

Liz Truss

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Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Tom Tugendhat become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

19.9%