MetaculusM

Question

Will Ireland's referendum to repeal the Eighth Amendment pass?

Resolved :Yes75%

8

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction75% (66% - 81%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

59.3

Community Peer Score

1.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

2018 Leaderboard

Eighth Amendment of the Constitution of Ireland

Comments

? comments

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

2018 Leaderboard

Eighth Amendment of the Constitution of Ireland