Question

How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :13.1B

25 comments25

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction13.3B

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30B

...

12.98B

13.26B

13.63B

0.1%

What was the final result?13.1B

Community Baseline Score

62.2

Community Peer Score

43.3

Authors:

TomL

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Global Trends 2022

2022 Scott Alexander predictions

Future Perfect 2022 Series

World Health Organization

COVID: CDC Reveals When to Expect Hospitalizations to Peak This Year

Newsweek•Oct 29, 2024

Why You Might Need Two COVID-19 Shots This Season

Time•Oct 29, 2024

8 million people were infected with TB in 2023. WHO says that’s the highest it has seen

Associated Press•Oct 30, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

When will COVID-19 be eradicated?

2091-04-11

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

176k

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