Question

How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :13.1B13.3B

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction13.3B (13B - 13.6B)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>30B
community	12.98B	13.26B	13.63B	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	12.98B	—
median	13.26B	—
upper 75%	13.63B	—
Upper bound
>30B	0.1%	—

What was the final result?13.1B

Community Baseline Score

62.2

Community Peer Score

43.3

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Dec 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 2, 2023

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Vaccination rates are declining and measles cases are climbing. More preventable diseases could re-emerge next

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Most adults, a third of children will be overweight or obese by 2050: Study

Al Jazeera•Mar 4, 2025

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When will COVID-19 be eradicated?

2091-03-06

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

148k

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