🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :13.1B13.3B
Community Prediction11.9B13.4B15BNov 01Nov 05Nov 09Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 03Dec 07Dec 11Dec 15Dec 19Dec 23Dec 27now
Total Forecasters137
Community Prediction13.3B (13B - 13.6B)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

8B9.1B10.2B11.3B12.4B13.5B14.6B15.7B16.8B17.9B19B20.1B21.2B22.3B23.4B24.5B25.6B26.7B27.8B28.9B30B
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>30B
...
...
...
...
12.98B
13.26B
13.63B
0.1%

What was the final result?13.1B

Community Baseline Score
62.2
Community Peer Score
43.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 2, 2023

Comments

? comments

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy