Question

What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022?

Resolved :1.09M

37 comments37

Total Forecasters192

Community Prediction1.09M

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2M

...

1.078M

1.093M

1.111M

0.3%

What was the final result?1.09M

Community Baseline Score

80.7

Community Peer Score

34.0

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Trends 2022

2022 Scott Alexander predictions

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

158k

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

237

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