Question

Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

42 comments42

Total Forecasters348

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-5.0

Community Peer Score

36.7

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Dec 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2023

Global Trends 2022

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

5 years after it appeared, things we know and still don’t know about COVID

PBS NewsHour•Jan 26, 2025

HMPV, Bird Flu and Norovirus: What Should US Be Most Worried About?

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Norovirus, Covid And RSV Are Surging This Winter. Here’s What To Know.

Forbes•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Comments

? comments