Question

Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

42 comments42

Total Forecasters348

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

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50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

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Authors:

TomL

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Closes:

Resolves:

Global Trends 2022

Health & Pandemics

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Comments

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Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Trends 2022

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Mpox became a global health emergency for the second time in 2024

New Scientist•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?

Make a Prediction

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?