Question

Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?

Resolved :Yes

42 comments42

Total Forecasters348

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-5.0

Community Peer Score

36.7

median 99.0%mean 98.4%

Authors:

TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

1.4%

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