M

Question

Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023?

Resolved :Yes
236
1.9k
Total Forecasters1157
Community Prediction99%

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community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-6.1
Community Peer Score
7.6
median 99.0%mean 96.6%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Global Trends 2022
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Geopolitics
United Nations Security Council
Russo-Ukrainian War
War in Donbass
Vladimir Putin
Temporarily occupied and uncontrolled territories of Ukraine
Ukraine
Crimea
Russia

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