Question

What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022?

Resolved :2.12.05

25 comments25

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction2.05 (1.54 - 2.49)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction

community

<-10

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10

...

0.1%

1.545

2.054

2.494

0.1%

What was the final result?2.1

Community Baseline Score

81.9

Community Peer Score

15.7

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 11, 2021

Closes:

Jan 31, 2023

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2023

Global Trends 2022

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

United States

Bureau of Economic Analysis

U.S. Economy Grew 2.3 Percent in Fourth Quarter

New York Times•Jan 30, 2025

U.S. economy ends 2024 with solid growth, up 2.8% for full year

PBS NewsHour•Jan 30, 2025

The US economy just had another robust year

CNN•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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