Question
When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction2034-08-02 (2028-08-26 - 2042-10-25)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2021-12-29 | 3.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Aug 2028 | — |
| median | Aug 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2042 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2071-12-29 | 6.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 7, 2072
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 7, 2072
