Question

Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022?

Resolved :Yes96%

94 comments94

Total Forecasters369

Community Prediction96% (90% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

37.9

Community Peer Score

19.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

1922 Committee

United Kingdom

Prime Minister of the UK

Boris Johnson

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Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

1922 Committee

United Kingdom

Prime Minister of the UK

Boris Johnson

Canada's Justin Trudeau Might Be on His Way Out Before the Federal Elections

Townhall•Dec 17, 2024

Canada: Trudeau’s Stumbling Government Appears on Verge of Collapse

Breitbart•Dec 17, 2024

Starmer Suffers Worst Approval of Any New PM in Half Century: Poll

Breitbart•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Comments

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?