Question

What will be the highest price realized by a Christie’s auction for a single NFT in 2030 (in 2021 USD)?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction500k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<500k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>500M

...

54.6%

<500k

5.093M

2.4%

Authors:

shcabot

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sotheby’s and Christie’s Saudi Arabia Moves, Art Basel Abu Dhabi and a Rumored Frieze Sale

Observer (NY)•Nov 14, 2024

From Cattelan’s Scandalous Banana to a Duo of Lalanne Camels: 10 Highlights of the November Art Auctions

Observer (NY)•Nov 14, 2024

A duct-taped banana is now worth $1 million

Independent•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will at least one work presented at Art Basel 2030 use an NFT?

58.4%

By 2030, how much will the most expensive NFT be sold for, in 2020 USD?

104M

What percent of exhibitors at Art Basel (in Basel, Switzerland) in 2030 will offer an NFT?

3.91

Comments

? comments

Authors:

shcabot

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sotheby’s and Christie’s Saudi Arabia Moves, Art Basel Abu Dhabi and a Rumored Frieze Sale

Observer (NY)•Nov 14, 2024

From Cattelan’s Scandalous Banana to a Duo of Lalanne Camels: 10 Highlights of the November Art Auctions

Observer (NY)•Nov 14, 2024

A duct-taped banana is now worth $1 million

Independent•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will at least one work presented at Art Basel 2030 use an NFT?

58.4%

By 2030, how much will the most expensive NFT be sold for, in 2020 USD?

104M

What percent of exhibitors at Art Basel (in Basel, Switzerland) in 2030 will offer an NFT?

3.91