Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
What will be China's total fertility rate in 2031?
25
72 comments
72
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
167
Community Prediction
1.14
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
<0.5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2.5
...
...
...
...
...
1.5%
0.9692
1.144
1.311
0.2%
Background Info
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Social Sciences
Communist Party of China
One-child policy
China
Total fertility rate
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Social Sciences
Communist Party of China
One-child policy
China
Total fertility rate
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
China's push for more babies as demographic crisis deepens lacks real incentives, analysts say
CNBC
•
Nov 11, 2024
China Will Have Four Nuclear Powered Aircraft Carriers by 2035
•
Nov 11, 2024
Russia Could Pay Students Who Have a Child, Amid Birth Rate Crisis
Newsweek
•
Nov 12, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
China's push for more babies as demographic crisis deepens lacks real incentives, analysts say
CNBC
•
Nov 11, 2024
China Will Have Four Nuclear Powered Aircraft Carriers by 2035
•
Nov 11, 2024
Russia Could Pay Students Who Have a Child, Amid Birth Rate Crisis
Newsweek
•
Nov 12, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?
8.8%
Will China ban abortion and contraception before 2051?
12.5%
Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?
73%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?
8.8%
Will China ban abortion and contraception before 2051?
12.5%
Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?
73%
Show More Questions