Question

When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction2025-06

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-01

...

2025-01

2025-06

2026-01

1.6%

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SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

List of Falcon 9 first-stage boosters

Reusable launch system

Aerospace engineering

SpaceX

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

12.2

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

2036-01

Comments

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Authors:

Kostas

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

List of Falcon 9 first-stage boosters

Reusable launch system

Aerospace engineering

SpaceX

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What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

12.2

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

2036-01

MetaculusM

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When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

Make a Prediction

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

Comments

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?