Question

Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023?

Resolved :Yes

43 comments43

Total Forecasters264

Community Prediction97%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

23.3

Community Peer Score

5.8

median 97.0%mean 92.1%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2022 Series

Law

Politics

Mississippi

Supreme Court of the US

Texas

Roe v. Wade

The Next Frontline in the Fight for Reproductive Rights

Slate•Nov 15, 2024

Will Abortion Rights Survive Republican Trifecta? Top Activists Respond

Newsweek•Nov 17, 2024

Emboldened anti-abortion groups create wishlist for second Trump term

Guardian•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

54.4

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Comments

? comments