Question

Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022?

Resolved :Yes

17 comments17

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

68.9

Community Peer Score

18.1

median 99.0%mean 96.0%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 Scott Alexander predictions

Future Perfect 2022 Series

World Health Organization

COVID: CDC Reveals When to Expect Hospitalizations to Peak This Year

Newsweek•Oct 29, 2024

Why You Might Need Two COVID-19 Shots This Season

Time•Oct 29, 2024

Britain has closed its eyes to long Covid – which means it will ravage even more lives and livelihoods | Devi Sridhar

Guardian•Oct 30, 2024

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