Question

Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022?

Resolved :No

14 comments14

Total Forecasters169

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-64.5

Community Peer Score

39.1

median 1.0%mean 3.5%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 Scott Alexander predictions

Future Perfect 2022 Series

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

1.4%

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

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