Question

Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?

Resolved :Yes

36 comments36

Total Forecasters159

Community Prediction90%

Make a Prediction

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

22.6

Community Peer Score

7.3

median 90.0%mean 82.5%

Comments

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2022 Series

2022 Scott Alexander predictions

List of Schedule I drugs (US)

List of Schedule IV drugs (US)

Oregon

Psilocybin

California

Nixon’s “War on Drugs” Was a Sham

CounterPunch•Oct 8, 2024

DEA could reclassify marijuana to a less restrictive category – a drug policy expert weighs the pros and cons

The Conversation•Oct 9, 2024

Emerging Treatments for Substance Use and Mental Health Disorders

Psychology Today•Oct 11, 2024

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