Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

Resolved :No23%
10
24
Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction23% (10% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 23%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
87.8
Community Peer Score
6.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
traviswfisher
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Pandemic Series (2018)
Health & Pandemics
2018 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Ebola virus disease
Medicine
Virology
World Health Organization
Epidemiology

Comments

? comments