M

Question

When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa?

Resolved :Above upper bound2024-01-01
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction2024-01-01 (2024-01-01 - 2024-01-01)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
...
>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
93.0%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
56.6
Community Peer Score
8.0
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023

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