M

Question

When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa?

Resolved :Above upper bound2024-01-01
5
5
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction2024-01-01 (2024-01-01 - 2024-01-01)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
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>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
93.0%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
56.6
Community Peer Score
8.0
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Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Tigray People's Liberation Front
Addis Ababa–Djibouti Railway
Debretsion Gebremichael
Mekelle
Amhara Region
Afar Region
Oromo Liberation Front
Addis Ababa
Abiy Ahmed

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