Question

What percentage of people in low-income countries will have recieved at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by January 1, 2023?

Resolved :25.926.1

10 comments10

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction26.1 (25.1 - 27.4)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

25.06

26.14

27.38

What was the final result?25.9

Community Baseline Score

80.0

Community Peer Score

24.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

Politicization and COVID-19 vaccine resistance in the U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

4.67

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

91.7

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

Politicization and COVID-19 vaccine resistance in the U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

4.67

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

91.7

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What percentage of people in low-income countries will have recieved at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by January 1, 2023?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?