Question

[Short Fuse] Will OSHA's Emergency Temporary Standard vaccine mandate be blocked or struck down by the US Supreme Court?

Resolved :Yes

20 comments20

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction62%

Make a Prediction

community: 62%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

13.3

Community Peer Score

1.1

median 62.0%mean 64.2%

Authors:

chipsie

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Health & Pandemics

United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit

Supreme Court of the US

United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit

Occupational Safety and Health Administration

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

95%

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

chipsie

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Health & Pandemics

United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit

Supreme Court of the US

United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit

Occupational Safety and Health Administration

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

95%

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

10%