Question

[Short Fuse] Will OSHA's Emergency Temporary Standard vaccine mandate be blocked or struck down by the US Supreme Court?

Resolved :Yes62%

20 comments20

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction62% (55% - 71%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 62%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

13.3

Community Peer Score

1.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

chipsie

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit

Supreme Court of the US

United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit

Occupational Safety and Health Administration

Supreme Court will take up a challenge related to California’s tough vehicle emissions standards

Associated Press•Dec 14, 2024

Supreme Court Throws TikTok a Lifeline Ahead of Looming Ban

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Supreme Court will hear TikTok ban arguments in January

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

95%

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

chipsie

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit

Supreme Court of the US

United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit

Occupational Safety and Health Administration

Supreme Court will take up a challenge related to California’s tough vehicle emissions standards

Associated Press•Dec 14, 2024

Supreme Court Throws TikTok a Lifeline Ahead of Looming Ban

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Supreme Court will hear TikTok ban arguments in January

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

0.5%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

95%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

[Short Fuse] Will OSHA's Emergency Temporary Standard vaccine mandate be blocked or struck down by the US Supreme Court?

Make a Prediction

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Comments

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?