Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022?

Resolved :8.819.64
11
30
Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction9.64 (8.15 - 11.5)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
8.15
9.641
11.49

What was the final result?8.81

Community Baseline Score
52.1
Community Peer Score
43.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
COVID-19 vaccine
United States
Medicine
Immunology
Virology
Emergency Use Authorization

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