Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the reported number of 7-day average new Covid-19 cases in Mainland China on 2022-02-28?

Resolved :220477
9
11
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction477 (184 - 1.06k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10k
...
...
...
...
184.4
477.4
1.065k
5.2%

What was the final result?220

Community Baseline Score
105.5
Community Peer Score
36.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
footgun
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2022 Leaderboard
Xi'an
Mainland China
COVID-19
COVID-19 vaccine
Public health
Medicine
Immunology
Virology

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