🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If a global catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

6
0
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction10% (5% - 25.4%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Black Death
Spanish flu
World War I
Plague of Justinian

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