Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections?

Resolved :5149.5
12
29
Total Forecasters143
Community Prediction49.5 (47.8 - 51.1)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<30
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>70
...
...
...
...
...
1.1%
47.84
49.48
51.1
0.7%

What was the final result?51

Community Baseline Score
71.4
Community Peer Score
19.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Elections
2022 Leaderboard
2022 United States Senate elections
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
United States
Joe Biden
US Senate

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