Question

Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes

11 comments11

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction100%

Make a Prediction

community: 99.6%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

92.6

Community Peer Score

10.4

median 99.6%mean 98.3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Workers' Party of Korea

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

2046-08-14

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Workers' Party of Korea

Kim Jong-un vows to thwart S. Korea-US 'nuclear alliance'

Korea Herald•Oct 8, 2024

Kim Jong Un threatens to NUKE America and South Korea as he ramps up hostilities ahead of US elections

Daily Mail•Oct 8, 2024

New Nuclear Threats Made to US From Kim Jong Un

Newsweek•Oct 8, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

2046-08-14

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

60%