Question

Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022?

Resolved :Yes95%

9 comments9

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction95% (92% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

76.4

Community Peer Score

4.7

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Authors:

cjcjameson

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Double Asteroid Redirection Test

Aerospace engineering

Dark comets, a cross between asteroids and comets, may be common in our solar system

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Huge 'Christmas Eve asteroid' the size of a 10-storey building will skim past Earth at 14,743mph on 24 December, NASA warns

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

A pair of satellites will create artificial solar eclipses to study the sun

NPR Online News•Dec 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

2026-10-24

Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?

0.1%

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

2028-10-09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

cjcjameson

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Double Asteroid Redirection Test

Aerospace engineering

Dark comets, a cross between asteroids and comets, may be common in our solar system

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Huge 'Christmas Eve asteroid' the size of a 10-storey building will skim past Earth at 14,743mph on 24 December, NASA warns

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

A pair of satellites will create artificial solar eclipses to study the sun

NPR Online News•Dec 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

2026-10-24

Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?

0.1%

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

2028-10-09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022?

Make a Prediction

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

Comments

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?