Question

Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning?

Resolved :Yes98%

52 comments52

Total Forecasters136

Community Prediction98% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

33.5

Community Peer Score

20.1

Authors:

WilliamKiely

Opened:

Jan 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 8, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 8, 2023

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

WilliamKiely

Opened:

Jan 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 8, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 8, 2023

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Higher egg prices and more tariffs: What betting markets see for inflation and trade policy

Business Insider•Feb 15, 2025

How Bad Are COVID, Flu and RSV This Winter?

Scientific American•Feb 16, 2025

RFK Jr. and Our Public Health Disasters

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Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

76%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?