Question

Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters176

Community Prediction80% (70% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

May 21, 2018

Closes:

Jun 15, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Geopolitics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

The Pentagon

The Heritage Foundation

September 11 attacks

World Trade Center (1973–2001)

United States

New York (state)

So About That Asteroid That Could Hit Earth ...

Atlantic•Feb 12, 2025

TSA not ready for an al-Qaeda attack on homeland, report finds

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Do You Need to Worry About an Asteroid Hitting Earth?

Time•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

15%

Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?

Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?

Comments

? comments