Question

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

Resolved :No1%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 1%

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36.6

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12.6

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Authors:

tomchivers

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Phases of clinical research

Clinical trial

Bioethics

Russia To Launch Free Cancer Vaccine in 2025

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Russia says it's developed a cancer vaccine and will launch it for free

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

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New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

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Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

24.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tomchivers

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Phases of clinical research

Clinical trial

Bioethics

Russia To Launch Free Cancer Vaccine in 2025

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Russia says it's developed a cancer vaccine and will launch it for free

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Stage 4 breast cancer patient given 2 years to live survives with ‘fourth pillar’ of treatments

New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

24.2%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

Comments

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?