Question

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

Resolved :No1%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

36.6

Community Peer Score

12.6

Authors:

tomchivers

Opened:

Jan 5, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Phases of clinical research

Bioethics

New cancer vaccine to stop disease before it takes hold in the body

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

GSK signs £50m deal with Oxford University on cancer vaccines

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Cancer vaccine being created by Oxford University and GSK scientists could stop disease up to 20 years early

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

24.2%

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tomchivers

Opened:

Jan 5, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Phases of clinical research

Bioethics

New cancer vaccine to stop disease before it takes hold in the body

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

GSK signs £50m deal with Oxford University on cancer vaccines

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Cancer vaccine being created by Oxford University and GSK scientists could stop disease up to 20 years early

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

24.2%

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%