Question

Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022?

Resolved :Yes

29 comments29

Total Forecasters98

Community Prediction88%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 88%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

19.2

Community Peer Score

3.3

median 88.0%mean 84.2%

Authors:

tomchivers

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

158k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

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