Question

Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022?

Resolved :No67%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction67% (60% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 67%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-81.3

Community Peer Score

23.4

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Urgent ‘festive flu’ warning as NHS urges people to book pre-Christmas jab

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.19

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

46.3

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

58%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Urgent ‘festive flu’ warning as NHS urges people to book pre-Christmas jab

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.19

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

46.3

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

58%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?