Question

Will there be armed conflict between racial groups in South Africa before 2023?

Resolved :No

23 comments23

Total Forecasters119

Community Prediction32%

Make a Prediction

community: 32%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

25.8

Community Peer Score

31.6

median 32.0%mean 33.7%

Authors:

stefanj

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

South Africa

South African farm attacks

Land reform in South Africa

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

80%

What will South Africa's GDP per capita PPP be in 2030 (in constant 2017 USD)?

12.4k

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stefanj

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

South Africa

South African farm attacks

Land reform in South Africa

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Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

80%

What will South Africa's GDP per capita PPP be in 2030 (in constant 2017 USD)?

12.4k