Question

Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?

Resolved :No1%

54 comments54

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

54.0

Community Peer Score

23.5

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Jan 11, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

China's Marriage Numbers Plunge Amid Population Crisis

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

Flu deaths may have surpassed COVID deaths nationwide for first time since start of pandemic, early CDC data suggests

CBS•Feb 12, 2025

She said no: marriages in China plummet to record low

Guardian•Feb 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

148k

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will China's total population be in these years?

1.36B

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Jan 11, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

China's Marriage Numbers Plunge Amid Population Crisis

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

Flu deaths may have surpassed COVID deaths nationwide for first time since start of pandemic, early CDC data suggests

CBS•Feb 12, 2025

She said no: marriages in China plummet to record low

Guardian•Feb 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

148k

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will China's total population be in these years?

1.36B