Question

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any other previous significant political office?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction54%

Make a Prediction

community: 54%

Did this actually happen?Yes

median 54.0%mean 51.3%

Authors:

James

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

US House of Representatives

Vice President of the US

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

13%

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

80%

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

James

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

US House of Representatives

Vice President of the US

What history says about vice presidential debates — and why Tuesday could be different

PBS NewsHour•Oct 1, 2024

Vance and Walz are both veterans. Here's what it means to have a vet VP

NPR Online News•Oct 1, 2024

JD Vance's debate performance will be about convincing voters he's up for the job

MSNBC•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

13%

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

80%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any other previous significant political office?

Make a Prediction

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Comments

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any *other* previous significant political office?

Make a Prediction

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Comments

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any other previous significant political office?