Question

On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak?

Resolved :2828.3

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction28.3 (27.2 - 29.6)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>120
community	27.21	28.28	29.65	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	27.21	—
median	28.28	—
upper 75%	29.65	—
Upper bound
>120	0.1%	—

What was the final result?28

Community Baseline Score

115.9

Community Peer Score

23.4

Authors:

citizen

Opened:

Jan 23, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

A look back at the early days of coronavirus spread

FOX News•Mar 7, 2025

The COVID pandemic’s lingering physical and mental toll, five years later

PBS NewsHour•Mar 10, 2025

Opinion | Covid’s Deadliest Effect Took Five Years to Appear

New York Times•Mar 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

120

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

12.5k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

citizen

Opened:

Jan 23, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

A look back at the early days of coronavirus spread

FOX News•Mar 7, 2025

The COVID pandemic’s lingering physical and mental toll, five years later

PBS NewsHour•Mar 10, 2025

Opinion | Covid’s Deadliest Effect Took Five Years to Appear

New York Times•Mar 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

120

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

12.5k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?