Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

MetaculusM

Group

Flu Hospitalizations for CA

4

41 forecasters

Make a Prediction

<6

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.4k

2.7%

19.33

29.19

47.61

0.5%

What was the final result?18

Community Baseline Score

-10.2

Community Peer Score

50.4

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 21

June 4

June 11

June 18

June 25

Jan 22

May 14

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

FluSight Challenge 2021/22

2022 Leaderboard

Influenza pandemic

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

California declares bird flu state of emergency after Louisiana patient suffers first severe case

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

FluSight Challenge 2021/22

2022 Leaderboard

Influenza pandemic

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Flu Season: CDC Map Reveals Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

California declares bird flu state of emergency after Louisiana patient suffers first severe case

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?