Question

By the end of 2019 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Resolved :No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

median 20.0%mean 23.4%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

52%

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

52%

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

44%

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By the end of 2019 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Make a Prediction

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

Comments

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?