Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?

Resolved :6672.64k
4
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction2.64k (1.62k - 3.83k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20k
...
...
...
...
1.616k
2.64k
3.831k
0.4%

What was the final result?667

Community Baseline Score
59.2
Community Peer Score
20.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
srinivv
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 4
Health & Pandemics
2022 Leaderboard
Virginia
Public health
Medicine
Virology

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